August is known for the ramp up in tropical activity across the Atlantic as the overall conditions become favorable. Hurricane Debby swamped the east with torrential rains that lead numerous flooding . As we close the door on Debby, forecasters have turned their eyes a disturbance east of the Caribbean with a high chance of becoming the next named storm, Ernesto.

Conditions ahead are primed for intensification, especially with the bathtub waters in the path. The Northeast Caribbean, including Puerto Rico could be he first in line to feel impacts from a tropical storm or category one hurricane next week. Beyond, this region, the uncertainty rises significantly.